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Falesti vs Victoria

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Falesti Logo

Falesti

1 - 0
FT
Victoria Logo

Victoria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Falesti in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Falesti
15%
Draws
59%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Falesti's 1.19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Falesti Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Victoria
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.19 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
2:1
Sep 1, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Victoria vs Falesti
5:3
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Victoria
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
1:2
Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Falesti vs Victoria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 32 / 100
Victoria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Falesti's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Falesti remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Victoria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

Victoria

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)