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Stadium Background

Falkenberg vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kallstrom H.
12' Event
Kallstrom H.
Assist: Andersson A.
15'
Sise M.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Falkenberg
30%
Draws
12%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Falkenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 19%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Brage
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
4:1
Jun 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
2:4
Aug 9, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallstrom H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 85 / 100
Brage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brage conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Falkenberg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Brage
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Brage

(Away)
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
23 Aug
Brage
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)