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Falkenberg vs Brage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
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Match Events

7' Event
Kallstrom H.
12' Event
Kallstrom H.
Assist: Andersson A.
15'
Sise M.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Falkenberg
20%
Draws
23%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Falkenberg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Brage
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
4:1
Jun 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
2:4
Aug 9, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Falkenberg
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Brage
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallstrom H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 58 / 100
Brage 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brage conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Falkenberg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Brage
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
31 Oct
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Sandviken
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
17 Oct
Falkenberg
4 : 3
Landskrona
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
Page 1 of 7

Brage

(Away)
30 Oct
Oddevold
2 : 1
Brage
24 Oct
Brage
4 : 5
Oster
17 Oct
Ljungskile
2 : 0
Brage
11 Oct
Brage
2 : 0
Helsingborg
03 Oct
Brage
1 : 1
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)