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Falkenberg vs Oster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
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Match Events

30'
Mohammad E.
50' Event
Kallstrom H.
Assist: Mohammad E.
56' Event
Kallstrom H.
Assist: Andersson A.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Falkenberg
15%
Draws
40%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Oster haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Falkenberg a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 18%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Oster
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Oster
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
2:2
Aug 23, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Falkenberg vs Oster
1:2
Mar 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallstrom H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Starke S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 36 / 100
Oster 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Oster let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Falkenberg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Oster
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
31 Oct
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Sandviken
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
17 Oct
Falkenberg
4 : 3
Landskrona
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
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Oster

(Away)
02 Nov
Oster
3 : 0
Helsingborg
24 Oct
Brage
4 : 5
Oster
17 Oct
Oster
3 : 1
Oddevold
10 Oct
Norrby
2 : 0
Oster
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)