Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk

Falkirk

0 - 1

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Allan C.

25'

Sub

McAllister N. In: Mitchell K.

Out: McAllister N.

30'

Holt K.

Assist: Lyon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Falkirk

30%

Draws

31%

Ayr

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Ayr haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
Model gives Falkirk a 39% chance of winning this.
Falkirk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Falkirk Clean Sheet 19%

Ayr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Falkirk	Ayr
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	13	11
Draws	4	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.61	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Falkirk vs Ayr

0:1

Apr 11, 2025 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

1:1

Feb 15, 2025 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

2:2

Dec 14, 2024 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

5:2

Oct 5, 2024 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Holt K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 40 / 100

Ayr 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Falkirk Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ayr has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Falkirk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Ayr

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)

19 Sept

St Johnstone

1 : 1

Falkirk

15 Sept

Falkirk

2 : 1

Hearts

05 Sept

Dundee Utd

1 : 1

Falkirk

02 Sept

Falkirk

1 : 2

Rangers

29 Aug

Celtic

2 : 1

Falkirk

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Ayr

(Away)

18 Sept

Queen's Park

0 : 2

Ayr

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Partick

1 : 0

Ayr

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

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