Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk

Falkirk

0 - 1

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Allan C.

25'

Sub

McAllister N. In: Mitchell K.

Out: McAllister N.

30'

Holt K.

Assist: Lyon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Falkirk

15%

Draws

61%

Ayr

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence

Ayr haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
Model gives Falkirk a 36% chance of winning this.
Falkirk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Ayr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Falkirk	Ayr
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	1	5
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Falkirk vs Ayr

0:1

Apr 11, 2025 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

1:1

Feb 15, 2025 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

2:2

Dec 14, 2024 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

5:2

Oct 5, 2024 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Holt K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 34 / 100

Ayr 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Falkirk Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Falkirk scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ayr has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Falkirk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Ayr

1.5 Goals Scored 2.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)

01 Aug

Falkirk

0 : 2

St. Mirren

25 Jul

Falkirk

3 : 0

Stranraer

21 Jul

Alloa

2 : 1

Falkirk

18 Jul

Falkirk

1 : 0

Genk

14 Jul

Falkirk

0 : 1

Ayr

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Ayr

(Away)

01 Aug

Ayr

2 : 0

Arbroath

25 Jul

Ayr

4 : 1

Alloa

18 Jul

Ayr

2 : 0

Edinburgh City

14 Jul

Falkirk

0 : 1

Ayr

11 Jul

Stranraer

2 : 3

Ayr

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