Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkirk vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkirk host Hearts in the Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Falkirk at 1.5 goals for, 1.88 against; Hearts at 1.5 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Hearts slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.69) back Hearts to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Falkirk
6%
Draws
4%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Falkirk haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Falkirk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hearts here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 13%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Hearts
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 84 / 100
Hearts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hearts conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Falkirk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Hearts
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Hearts
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
14 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 2
Hearts
10 Jul
Livingston
2 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)