Sport Picks

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Falkirk vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Barbrook F.
8' Event
Krauhaus B.
Assist: Strain R.
22' Event
Wilson J.
Assist: McPake J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Falkirk and Hearts finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falkirk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Falkirk
20%
Draws
56%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Falkirk haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Hearts are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 13%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Hearts
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
2:1
May 13, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Krauhaus B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eames O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 19 / 100
Hearts 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Falkirk scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hearts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Falkirk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Hearts
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
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Hearts

(Away)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
11 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)