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Falkirk vs Kilmarnock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkirk host Kilmarnock in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Falkirk at 1.48 goals for, 1.55 against; Kilmarnock at 1.62 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Falkirk have won 3 to Kilmarnock's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Kilmarnock. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Falkirk
35%
Draws
32%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kilmarnock carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Falkirk are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Falkirk
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
3:1
Jun 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Kilmarnock vs Falkirk
4:1
Sep 4, 2021 Challenge Cup
Kilmarnock vs Falkirk
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 42 / 100
Kilmarnock 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Falkirk scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Kilmarnock has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Falkirk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Kilmarnock
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Kilmarnock

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)