Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2025

Gefle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Falu BS play Gefle in the Division 1 - Norra 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Falu BS averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Gefle averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Falu BS won 2, Gefle won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Falu BS and 1.00 for Gefle. This points to a Falu BS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Falu BS

15%

Draws

33%

Gefle

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falu BS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Falu BS picked up more points recently compared to Gefle.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Falu BS Clean Sheet 23%

Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Falu BS	Gefle
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	18	11
Draws	8	3
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.61	1.69
Goals Conceded	0.91	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Svenska Cupen

Falu BS vs Gefle

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Gefle vs Falu BS

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Nov 21, 2025 Division 1 - Norra

Gefle vs Falu BS

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Nov 16, 2025 Division 1 - Norra

Falu BS vs Gefle

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falu BS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Rauschenberg M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falu BS 51 / 100

Gefle 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Falu BS Gefle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Falu BS or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Falu BS attacking → ← attacking Gefle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falu BS scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Gefle let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Falu BS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gefle lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 36

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88