Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falu BS vs Ytterhogdal

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Gradin E.
70' Event
Larsson E.
88' Event
Abdelrahman A.

AI Match Summary

Falu BS in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falu BS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Falu BS
15%
Draws
39%
Ytterhogdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falu BS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Falu BS have won more games recently than Ytterhogdal.
  • Model gives Falu BS a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Falu BS Clean Sheet 68%
Ytterhogdal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falu BS Ytterhogdal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Falu BS vs Ytterhogdal
3:0
Apr 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Ytterhogdal vs Falu BS
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falu BS Compare

Top Goalscorer Gradin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ytterhogdal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falu BS 50 / 100
Ytterhogdal 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falu BS Ytterhogdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falu BS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Falu BS scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Ytterhogdal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Falu BS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falu BS VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falu BS

(Home)
27 Sept
Falu BS
2 : 3
Angby
19 Sept
Kungsangen
3 : 1
Falu BS
13 Sept
Falu BS
2 : 2
Taby FK
06 Sept
Viggbyholms
0 : 2
Falu BS
30 Aug
Falu BS
2 : 1
Bollstanas
Page 1 of 7

Ytterhogdal

(Away)
18 Oct
IK Franke
4 : 3
Ytterhogdal
11 Oct
Ytterhogdal
5 : 4
Nacka FC
04 Oct
Osteraker IFK
1 : 2
Ytterhogdal
27 Sept
Ytterhogdal
1 : 2
Korsnas
20 Sept
Sunnersta AIF
4 : 2
Ytterhogdal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Jarfalla 26 19 4 3 60:19 61
2 Falu BS 26 16 7 3 53:24 55
3 Bollstanas 26 14 5 7 57:36 47
4 Sunnersta AIF 26 13 6 7 56:40 45
5 Viggbyholms 26 13 6 7 53:43 45
6 Nacka FC 26 13 3 10 65:45 42
7 IK Franke 26 10 8 8 49:46 38
8 Taby FK 26 10 4 12 55:47 34
9 Kungsangen 26 9 6 11 37:36 33
10 Skiljebo 26 8 7 11 43:52 31
11 Korsnas 26 8 7 11 40:57 31
12 Gute 26 6 4 16 39:55 22
13 Ytterhogdal 26 4 2 20 28:90 14
14 Osteraker IFK 26 2 5 19 28:73 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 (Relegation)