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Famalicao U19 vs Rio Ave U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Famalicao U19 play Rio Ave U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Famalicao U19 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Rio Ave U19 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Famalicao U19 won 4, Rio Ave U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Famalicao U19 and 1.50 for Rio Ave U19. This points to a Famalicao U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Famalicao U19
15%
Draws
40%
Rio Ave U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Famalicao U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Famalicao U19 picked up more points recently compared to Rio Ave U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Famalicao U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao U19 Rio Ave U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Rio Ave U19
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Famalicao U19
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Famalicao U19
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Famalicao U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazerochi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almeida A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rio Ave U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davide P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao U19 44 / 100
Rio Ave U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao U19 Rio Ave U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Famalicao U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Famalicao U19 attacking → ← attacking Rio Ave U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rio Ave U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Famalicao U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rio Ave U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 43
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75