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Famalicao U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Famalicao U23 host Estrela da Amadora U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Famalicao U23 at 2.03 goals for, 1.83 against; Estrela da Amadora U23 at 1.03 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Famalicao U23 slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Famalicao U23. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Famalicao U23
20%
Draws
36%
Estrela da Amadora U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Famalicao U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Famalicao U23 lately — more wins on the board than Estrela da Amadora U23.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Famalicao U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Famalicao U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao U23 Estrela da Amadora U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:1
Feb 5, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:0
Apr 9, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
4:0
Feb 6, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:2
Mar 7, 2023 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao U23 35 / 100
Estrela da Amadora U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao U23 Estrela da Amadora U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Famalicao U23 scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Estrela da Amadora U23 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Famalicao U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao U23 VS Estrela da Amadora U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao U23

(Home)
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
Famalicao U23
0 : 1
Rio Ave U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Famalicao U23
2 : 1
FC Felgueiras U23
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Estrela da Amadora U23

(Away)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)