Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

BSAD

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Famalicao play BSAD in the Taça de Portugal 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Famalicao averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. BSAD averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Famalicao won 4, BSAD won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2023 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Famalicao and 1.00 for BSAD. This points to a Famalicao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Famalicao

24%

Draws

29%

BSAD

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Famalicao picked up more points recently compared to BSAD.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Famalicao Clean Sheet 23%

BSAD Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Famalicao	BSAD
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	15	11
Draws	7	9
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.43	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2023 Taça de Portugal

Famalicao vs BSAD

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

4:1

May 9, 2022 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Famalicao

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Jan 13, 2022 Liga Portugal

Famalicao vs BSAD

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 12, 2021 Liga Portugal

Famalicao vs BSAD

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 28, 2020 Liga Portugal

BSAD vs Famalicao

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadiz J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Dobre A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 47 / 100

BSAD 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Famalicao BSAD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Famalicao or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Famalicao attacking → ← attacking BSAD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

BSAD let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Famalicao went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BSAD lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 42

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00