Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
van Breemen F.
Assist: Aranda O.
21'
21'
Bouzaidi S.
42'
42'
Butzke A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Famalicao and Maritimo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Famalicao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maritimo come out ahead of Famalicao on wins alone.
- Model gives Famalicao a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Famalicao | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Maritimo
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Maritimo
3:2
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Famalicao
0:0
Feb 20, 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Famalicao
0:1
Sep 18, 2021 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Maritimo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Famalicao Compare
Top Goalscorer van Breemen F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzaidi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boakye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Famalicao 95 / 100
Maritimo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Famalicao Maritimo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Famalicao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Famalicao found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Maritimo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Famalicao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Famalicao VS Maritimo
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Famalicao
(Home) 19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
31 Jul
Famalicao
2 : 3 Como
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 4
Maritimo
(Away) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
09 May
Penafiel
1 : 0 Maritimo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Estrela da Amadora | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
