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Famalicao vs Sporting CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Goncalves F.
45'
Gil Dias
46'
Sub
Gil Dias In: Beney R.
Out: Gil Dias

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal game between Famalicao and Sporting CP finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Famalicao
35%
Draws
42%
Sporting CP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting CP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sporting CP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting CP have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Sporting CP
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 23
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.17 2.39
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Sporting CP
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Famalicao
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Sporting CP
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Famalicao
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Sporting CP
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 10 / 100
Sporting CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Sporting CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting CP has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Famalicao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Sporting CP
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP

(Away)
09 Oct
Braga
1 : 3
Sporting CP
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20:9 18
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6:5 11
7 Braga 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
9 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)