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Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Fancesa and Quebracho Villa Montes finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fancesa
20%
Draws
51%
Quebracho Villa Montes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fancesa haven't matched Quebracho Villa Montes's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Fancesa taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 20%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Quebracho Villa Montes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Fancesa
2:1
Nov 22, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
5:0
Oct 18, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Fancesa
5:2
Dec 20, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Quebracho Villa Montes
9:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 49 / 100
Quebracho Villa Montes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Quebracho Villa Montes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fancesa scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Quebracho Villa Montes has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

Quebracho Villa Montes

(Away)
10 Oct
Quebracho Villa Montes
2 : 1
Nacional Senac
03 Oct
Garcia Agreda
2 : 2
Quebracho Villa Montes
30 Sept
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
25 Sept
Nacional Senac
2 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
22 Sept
Quebracho Villa Montes
4 : 2
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Pari 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
2 Guabira 8 5 1 2 19:7 16
3 Universitario Beni 8 5 1 2 20:15 16
4 Mariscal Sucre 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
5 San Borja 8 0 0 8 8:33 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
2 Em Huanuni 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
3 Arauco Prado 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
4 Maestranza 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 8 5 1 2 7:8 16
2 Garcia Agreda 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
4 Fancesa 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
5 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 2 0 6 11:16 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)