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Fancesa vs Rio San Juan Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fancesa
30%
Draws
47%
Rio San Juan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Fancesa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%
Rio San Juan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Rio San Juan
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Rio San Juan
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rio San Juan vs Fancesa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 30 / 100
Rio San Juan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Rio San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Rio San Juan conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fancesa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Rio San Juan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

Rio San Juan

(Away)
09 Nov
Rio San Juan
0 : 0
Real Potosi
02 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Rio San Juan
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams