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Stadium Background

Fancesa vs Universitario de Tarija

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fancesa in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fancesa
6%
Draws
4%
Universitario de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fancesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fancesa lately — more wins on the board than Universitario de Tarija.
  • Win probability leans Fancesa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 11%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Universitario de Tarija
3:0
Nov 8, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Fancesa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 83 / 100
Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Universitario de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Universitario de Tarija has conceded goals in 64% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Universitario de Tarija's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Universitario de Tarija
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
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Universitario de Tarija

(Away)
22 Sept
Real Potosi
4 : 4
Universitario de Tarija
15 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
01 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
24 Aug
Fatic
6 : 3
Universitario de Tarija
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royal Pari860218:918
2Guabira851219:716
3Universitario Beni851220:1516
4Mariscal Sucre822413:148
5San Borja80088:330
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora641115:913
2Em Huanuni63037:109
3Arauco Prado61329:96
4Maestranza61235:85
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija85127:816
2Garcia Agreda841314:1113
3Quebracho Villa Montes841315:1413
4Fancesa831415:1310
5Wilstermann Cooperativas820611:166
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)