Sport Picks
Fanfulla vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 
Match Events
60'
60'
Lucatti G.
AI Match Summary
Fanfulla in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fanfulla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fanfulla haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Desenzano Calvina taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fanfulla | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Desenzano Calvina
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Fanfulla
0:0
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Fanfulla
0:3
Nov 1, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Desenzano Calvina
5:0
Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fanfulla Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fanfulla 20 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fanfulla Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Desenzano Calvina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fanfulla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Desenzano Calvina has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Fanfulla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Desenzano Calvina
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fanfulla
(Home) 04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2 Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1 Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2 Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1 Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1 Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1 Ospitaletto
23 Mar
Fanfulla
1 : 1 Pro Sesto
02 Mar
Fanfulla
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
