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Fanfulla vs OltrepoVoghera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Fanfulla and OltrepoVoghera finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fanfulla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fanfulla
30%
Draws
23%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fanfulla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fanfulla come out ahead of OltrepoVoghera on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fanfulla a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 13
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs OltrepoVoghera
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Fanfulla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 42 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fanfulla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (39 games).

OltrepoVoghera has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: OltrepoVoghera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fanfulla VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 8

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)