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Fanfulla vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Mozzanica J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Fanfulla and Ospitaletto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ospitaletto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fanfulla
30%
Draws
58%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ospitaletto come out ahead of Fanfulla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ospitaletto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Ospitaletto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Ospitaletto
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ospitaletto vs Fanfulla
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozzanica J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 10 / 100
Ospitaletto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fanfulla found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ospitaletto conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Fanfulla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ospitaletto
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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Ospitaletto

(Away)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)