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Fano vs Vastese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Schiaroli L.
62' Event
Broso A.
77' Event
de Cerchio A.

AI Match Summary

Fano in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fano
15%
Draws
39%
Vastese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Fano at 1.19 per game, Vastese at 0.9.
  • Model gives Fano a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fano Clean Sheet 68%
Vastese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fano Vastese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Vastese
2:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Fano
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Fano
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Vastese
2:2
Feb 28, 2010 Lega Pro C2/B
Vastese vs Fano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fano Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiaroli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Broso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vastese Compare

Top Goalscorer de Cerchio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fano 50 / 100
Vastese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fano Vastese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fano scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Vastese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fano VS Vastese
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fano

(Home)
05 May
Fano
5 : 2
Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0
Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0
Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2
Fano
Page 1 of 7

Vastese

(Away)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)