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FAP vs Sloboda

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FAP in this Srpska Liga - West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FAP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FAP
20%
Draws
42%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FAP at 1.32 per game, Sloboda at 1.2.
  • Win probability leans FAP's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FAP Clean Sheet 20%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAP Sloboda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
FAP vs Sloboda
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Sloboda vs FAP
4:3
Feb 14, 2018 Club Friendly
Sloboda vs FAP
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAP 42 / 100
Sloboda 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAP Sloboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FAP remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FAP found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Sloboda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

FAP VS Sloboda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FAP

(Home)
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
24 Sept
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 0
FAP
21 Sept
FAP
3 : 0
Vujan Prislonica
12 Sept
Radnicki Valjevo
0 : 0
FAP
06 Sept
FAP
2 : 0
Sloga Pozega
Page 1 of 7

Sloboda

(Away)
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
12 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Buducnost Krusik
06 Sept
Radevac
0 : 3
Sloboda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jedinstvo Putevi 8 5 3 0 11:3 18
2 Omladinac Zablace 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
3 FAP 8 4 3 1 10:4 15
4 Sloboda 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Radnicki Valjevo 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
6 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
7 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 8 3 2 3 9:4 11
8 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 OFK Napredak 8 2 3 3 7:6 9
10 Sloga Pozega 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
11 Buducnost Krusik 8 2 2 4 9:9 8
12 Real Podunavci 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
13 Djerdap Golubac 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
14 Vujan Prislonica 8 2 1 5 7:15 7
15 Radevac 8 1 3 4 6:14 6
16 Takovo 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)