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FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
FAR Rabat Logo

FAR Rabat

2 - 1
FT
Stade Marocain Logo

Stade Marocain

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Aatfallah I.
45' Event
Slim R.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Slim R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FAR Rabat
20%
Draws
19%
Stade Marocain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAR Rabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FAR Rabat come out ahead of Stade Marocain on wins alone.
  • FAR Rabat are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • FAR Rabat have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FAR Rabat, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FAR Rabat Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAR Rabat Stade Marocain
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.39 0.79
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Coupe du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
2:1
Mar 28, 2023 Coupe du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
3:1
Aug 27, 2017 Coupe du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
2:2
Aug 23, 2017 Coupe du Trone
Stade Marocain vs FAR Rabat
2:3
Mar 17, 2002 Botola Pro
Stade Marocain vs FAR Rabat
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAR Rabat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stade Marocain Compare

Top Goalscorer Aatfallah I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAR Rabat 86 / 100
Stade Marocain 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAR Rabat Stade Marocain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Rabat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: FAR Rabat remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FAR Rabat scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Away concern: Stade Marocain has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FAR Rabat VS Stade Marocain
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FAR Rabat

(Home)
12 Sept
FAR Rabat
3 : 2
Widad Temara
09 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0
Olympique de Safi
13 Aug
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

Stade Marocain

(Away)
06 Sept
Stade Marocain
0 : 0
RAC Casablanca
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Widad Temara
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini 1
Renaissance Zemamra 2
Amal Tiznit 0
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0
COD Meknes 2
Moghreb Tetouan 1
FATH Casablanca 0
Olympique de Safi 3
Dcheira 0
Yacoub El Mansour 1
Maghreb Fez 0
Hassania Agadir 3
Mostakbal El Marsa 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Jeunesse Massira 0
KAC Kenitra 1
IR Tanger 2
Berkane 3
Wydad Fes 1
Kawkab Marrakech 3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Rachad Bernoussi 0
FUS Rabat 4
Union Touarga 1
Fath Nador 0
Chabab Mohammedia 0
Chabab Benguerir 3
FAR Rabat 2
Stade Marocain 1
Raja Beni Mellal 0
Wydad Athletic 2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra -
Difaa El Jadidi -
COD Meknes -
Moghreb Tetouan -
Olympique de Safi -
Yacoub El Mansour -
Hassania Agadir -
Raja Casablanca -
IR Tanger -
Berkane -
Kawkab Marrakech -
FUS Rabat -
Union Touarga -
Chabab Benguerir -
FAR Rabat -
Wydad Athletic -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -