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Farnborough vs Dover Ath. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bates J.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Farnborough and Dover Ath. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dover Ath..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Farnborough
20%
Draws
46%
Dover Ath.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Farnborough have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — Dover Ath. are scoring more at 1.39.
  • Win probability leans Dover Ath.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 12%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Dover Ath.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
4:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 10 / 100
Dover Ath. 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Dover Ath.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Farnborough's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dover Ath. conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Farnborough has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Dover Ath.
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5
Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Dover Ath.

(Away)
31 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Farnham
27 Oct
Dover Ath.
0 : 1
Chelmsford
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1
Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)