Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Farnborough vs Dover Ath.

England England

National League South Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bates J.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Farnborough and Dover Ath. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dover Ath..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Farnborough
30%
Draws
47%
Dover Ath.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Dover Ath. on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 17%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Dover Ath.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
4:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 31 / 100
Dover Ath. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Dover Ath.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnborough found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Dover Ath.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Farnborough has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Dover Ath.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4
Tonbridge
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2
Farnborough
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
Farnborough
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Dover Ath.

(Away)
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3
Braintree
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)