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Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Seaman C.
38' Event
Barnes F.
43' Event
Seaman C.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Farnborough and Ebbsfleet finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebbsfleet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Farnborough
15%
Draws
53%
Ebbsfleet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ebbsfleet are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Ebbsfleet
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
0:6
Feb 28, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Feb 28, 2023 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
2:2
Aug 20, 2022 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Seaman C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barnes F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 10 / 100
Ebbsfleet 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Ebbsfleet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Farnborough found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ebbsfleet has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Farnborough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Ebbsfleet
0.57 Goals Scored 2.5
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5
Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6

Ebbsfleet

(Away)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0
Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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