Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet

England England

National League South Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farnborough host Ebbsfleet in the National League South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Farnborough at 1.77 goals for, 1.52 against; Ebbsfleet at 1.78 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Farnborough have won 0 to Ebbsfleet's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.56) point toward Ebbsfleet. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Farnborough
30%
Draws
47%
Ebbsfleet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Farnborough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Farnborough are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 20%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Ebbsfleet
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Feb 28, 2023 National League South
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet
2:2
Aug 20, 2022 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 49 / 100
Ebbsfleet 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Ebbsfleet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Farnborough scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ebbsfleet has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Farnborough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Ebbsfleet
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4
Tonbridge
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2
Farnborough
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 7

Ebbsfleet

(Away)
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)