Sport Picks
Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League South Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough 
Match Events
14'
14'
Parkes S.
20'
20'
Campbell R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Hemel Hempstead in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemel Hempstead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hemel Hempstead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Farnborough lately — more wins on the board than Hemel Hempstead.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Hemel Hempstead taking it.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hemel Hempstead have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Hemel Hempstead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Farnborough
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Farnborough
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Parkes S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 24 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Hemel Hempstead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Farnborough scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Farnborough went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Hemel Hempstead
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2 Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2 Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2 Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2 Uxbridge
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 3
Hemel Hempstead
(Away) 26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
22 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Truro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Farnham | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 16 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 18 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 19 | Braintree | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:26 | 2 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
