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Farnborough vs Horsham FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hammond J.
45' Event
Luer G.
74' Event
Cox G.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Farnborough and Horsham FC finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsham FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Farnborough
20%
Draws
52%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Horsham FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Horsham FC a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 11%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Horsham FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Horsham FC
0:5
Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Horsham FC
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Farnborough
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammond J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 10 / 100
Horsham FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsham FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Farnborough scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Horsham FC has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Farnborough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Horsham FC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5
Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
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Horsham FC

(Away)
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5
Horsham FC
27 Oct
Maidenhead
1 : 1
Horsham FC
24 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 0
Walton & Hersham
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2
Horsham FC
17 Oct
Slough Town
1 : 2
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)