Sport Picks
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
England
National League South Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sutcliffe E.
45'
45'
Thomas L.
Own Goal
68'
68'
Korboa R.
AI Match Summary
Tonbridge in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tonbridge lately — more wins on the board than Farnborough.
- Win probability leans Tonbridge's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 13%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:4
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:4
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korboa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 11 / 100
Tonbridge 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Tonbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Farnborough scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Tonbridge has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Farnborough has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Tonbridge
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0 Farnborough
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2 Farnborough
22 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
Page 1 of 3
Tonbridge
(Away) 12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
