Sport Picks
Farnborough vs Tonbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sutcliffe E.
45'
45'
Thomas L.
Own Goal
68'
68'
Korboa R.
AI Match Summary
Tonbridge in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tonbridge lately — more wins on the board than Farnborough.
- Win probability leans Tonbridge's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 11%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:4
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:4
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korboa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 10 / 100
Tonbridge 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Tonbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Farnborough scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Tonbridge has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Farnborough has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Tonbridge
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6 Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5 Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0 Farnborough
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6 Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5 Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2 Uxbridge
Page 1 of 3
Tonbridge
(Away) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0 Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3 Tonbridge
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
