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Stadium Background

Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dawes W.
81' Event
Bloomfield M.
90' Event
Bloomfield M.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Farnborough and Weston-super-Mare finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Farnborough
15%
Draws
12%
Weston-super-Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farnborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Weston-super-Mare on wins alone.
  • Farnborough are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 20%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Weston-super-Mare
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough
4:1
Aug 25, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Bloomfield M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawes W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 67 / 100
Weston-super-Mare 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Weston-super-Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Farnborough found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Weston-super-Mare has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Weston-super-Mare's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS Weston-super-Mare
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
31 Oct
Farnborough
0 : 5
Horsham FC
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
10 Oct
Billericay
4 : 0
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Weston-super-Mare

(Away)
31 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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