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Farnham vs Gloucester City

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Sanders D.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Clifford B.
65' Event
Taylor B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Farnham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Farnham
20%
Draws
42%
Gloucester City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Gloucester City haven't matched Farnham's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Farnham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Farnham, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Farnham here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Farnham Clean Sheet 19%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnham Gloucester City
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Gloucester City
5:1
Nov 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Farnham
1:2
Sep 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Gloucester City
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Clifford B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnham 31 / 100
Gloucester City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnham Gloucester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Farnham scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gloucester City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Farnham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farnham VS Gloucester City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnham

(Home)
01 Aug
Farnham
1 : 0
Eastleigh
28 Jul
Farnham
1 : 1
Yeovil
25 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 2
Farnham
21 Jul
Farnham
2 : 1
Wycombe
04 Jul
Ashford Town
4 : 0
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

Gloucester City

(Away)
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1
Gloucester City
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1
Gloucester City
18 Jul
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Haverfordwest
11 Jul
Gloucester City
2 : 1
Newport
04 May
Farnham
5 : 1
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Farnham 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Gloucester City 3
Poole Town 2
Final
Farnham 5
Gloucester City 1