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Farnham vs Tonbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farnham host Tonbridge in the National League South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Farnham at 1.79 goals for, 1.24 against; Tonbridge at 1.83 for, 1.21 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.50) point toward Farnham. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Farnham
15%
Draws
45%
Tonbridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Farnham lately — more wins on the board than Tonbridge.
  • Farnham are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Farnham Clean Sheet 16%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnham Tonbridge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnham 66 / 100
Tonbridge 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnham Tonbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnham's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tonbridge conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Farnham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tonbridge lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farnham VS Tonbridge
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnham

(Home)
02 Nov
Chelmsford
0 : 2
Farnham
31 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Farnham
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Farnham
6 : 0
Braintree
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

Tonbridge

(Away)
31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Salisbury
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0
Folkestone
24 Oct
Chelmsford
3 : 3
Tonbridge
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)