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Faroe Islands vs Montenegro

World World

World Championship 2026 Tórsvøllur
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sorensen H.
Assist: Frederiksberg A.
36' Event
Roganovic M.
Own Goal
52'
Simun M.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Faroe Islands and Montenegro finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Faroe Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Faroe Islands
20%
Draws
38%
Montenegro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Montenegro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Faroe Islands's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 20%
Montenegro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Faroe Islands Montenegro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Montenegro
4:0
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Montenegro vs Faroe Islands
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorensen H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Montenegro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faroe Islands 42 / 100
Montenegro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Faroe Islands Montenegro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Faroe Islands has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Faroe Islands's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Faroe Islands VS Montenegro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280