Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Farroupilha Logo

Farroupilha

1 - 1
FT
Guarany de Bage Logo

Guarany de Bage

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Leo Ferraz
90' Event
Emersonn Bastos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Farroupilha
20%
Draws
50%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany de Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarany de Bage have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • Model gives Guarany de Bage a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Guarany de Bage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.76 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bage
1:1
May 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs Farroupilha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ferraz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Emersonn Bastos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 28 / 100
Guarany de Bage 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany de Bage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany de Bage has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Farroupilha scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Farroupilha has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Guarany de Bage
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)