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Farroupilha vs Inter Santa Maria

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Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 game between Farroupilha and Inter Santa Maria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Farroupilha
35%
Draws
28%
Inter Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Santa Maria come out ahead of Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Inter Santa Maria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2019 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Farroupilha
1:0
Feb 23, 2019 Gaucho 2
Farroupilha vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 32 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Inter Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Santa Maria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Farroupilha's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Inter Santa Maria let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Farroupilha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Inter Santa Maria
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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Inter Santa Maria

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 14 7 4 3 13:10 25
2 EC Guarani 14 6 4 4 18:13 22
3 GE Bage 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
4 Lajeadense 14 4 8 2 12:10 20
5 Sao Gabriel 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
6 Inter Santa Maria 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
7 EC Cruzeiro 14 4 5 5 11:9 17
8 Farroupilha 14 1 4 9 10:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
2 GE Gloria 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
3 Igrejinha 14 5 6 3 14:12 21
4 Ypiranga FC 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 Passo Fundo 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 4 3 7 14:16 15
7 Tupi RS 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
8 AE Sao Borja 14 3 5 6 14:23 14
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)