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FAS vs Chalatenango

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023 Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ascensio M.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Blackburn R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between FAS and Chalatenango finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FAS
20%
Draws
29%
Chalatenango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FAS come out ahead of Chalatenango on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FAS Clean Sheet 20%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Chalatenango
Matches Played 45 28
Wins 28 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs FAS
2:1
Feb 19, 2023 Primera Division
FAS vs Chalatenango
1:1
Sep 14, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs FAS
0:0
Jul 20, 2022 Primera Division
FAS vs Chalatenango
0:0
Apr 28, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs FAS
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackburn R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Chalatenango Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 31 / 100
Chalatenango 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Chalatenango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FAS scored in 87% of their last 45 outings.

Chalatenango has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FAS remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
30 Aug
FAS
3 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
26 Aug
Cartagines
2 : 0
FAS
23 Aug
FAS
1 : 0
Aguila
20 Aug
FAS
1 : 1
Municipal
17 Aug
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
FAS
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Chalatenango

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)