Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FAS vs Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024 Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Arboleda Y.
31' Event
Garay K.
37' Event
Tejada R.

AI Match Summary

FAS in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
FAS
20%
Draws
7%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • FAS have won more games recently than Santa Tecla.
  • FAS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FAS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FAS Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Santa Tecla
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 26 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.05 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Primera Division
FAS vs Santa Tecla
5:1
Jan 28, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs FAS
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Primera Division
FAS vs Santa Tecla
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs FAS
0:2
Apr 23, 2023 Primera Division
FAS vs Santa Tecla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tejada R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Garay K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 85 / 100
Santa Tecla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FAS found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: Santa Tecla conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FAS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
30 Aug
FAS
3 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
26 Aug
Cartagines
2 : 0
FAS
23 Aug
FAS
1 : 0
Aguila
20 Aug
FAS
1 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 8

Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)