Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Aman A.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Eyasu T.
69'
69'
Eyasu T.
AI Match Summary
Fasil Kenema in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fasil Kenema.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fasil Kenema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fasil Kenema lately — more wins on the board than Adama City.
- Model gives Fasil Kenema a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fasil Kenema | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Adama City
3:1
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Fasil Kenema
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Adama City
2:2
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Adama City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fasil Kenema Compare
Top Goalscorer Eyasu T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zelalem K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Adama City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fasil Kenema 50 / 100
Adama City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fasil Kenema Adama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adama City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Fasil Kenema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Fasil Kenema found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Fasil Kenema VS Adama City
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fasil Kenema
(Home) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
06 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Adama City
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
04 May
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)