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Fast Clube vs Penarol

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Radames
45' Event
Silva Araujo P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2022 game between Fast Clube and Penarol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fast Clube
20%
Draws
30%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fast Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Fast Clube are scoring more at 2.04.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fast Clube taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fast Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fast Clube Penarol
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Penarol
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Serie D
Penarol vs Fast Clube
2:1
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D
Fast Clube vs Penarol
3:2
Mar 27, 2021 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Penarol
0:0
Mar 27, 2021 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Penarol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fast Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Radames
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Araujo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fast Clube 95 / 100
Penarol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fast Clube Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fast Clube scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Penarol has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fast Clube stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fast Clube VS Penarol
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fast Clube

(Home)
13 Aug
Fast Clube
4 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
01 Aug
RB do Norte
1 : 1
Fast Clube
14 Jun
Itacoatiara
3 : 0
Fast Clube
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
01 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 2
Fast Clube
Page 1 of 5

Penarol

(Away)
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1
Penarol
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)