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Stadium Background

Fatic vs Atletico Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Fatic
15%
Draws
32%
Atletico Sucre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatic come out ahead of Atletico Sucre on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fatic's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Fatic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Atletico Sucre
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.09 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Atletico Sucre
3:1
Sep 5, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Sucre vs Fatic
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 34 / 100
Atletico Sucre 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Atletico Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Sucre has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Fatic scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Fatic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Atletico Sucre
1.63 Goals Scored 2.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
21 Aug
Fatic
2 : 2
Em Huanuni
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Sucre

(Away)
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
10 Sept
Atletico Sucre
0 : 1
Em Huanuni
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
29 Aug
Em Huanuni
3 : 2
Atletico Sucre
23 Aug
Atletico Sucre
8 : 0
Libertad FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 Fatic 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
2 Hiska Nacional 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
3 Chaco FC 5 2 0 3 13:14 6
4 Ingenieros 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 5 4 0 1 8:6 12
2 Mineros Potosi 5 3 1 1 19:6 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 5 2 1 2 13:11 7
4 Atletico Juniors 5 0 0 5 5:22 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 5 4 1 0 9:2 13
2 Tiquipaya 5 3 1 1 14:3 10
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 5 2 0 3 2:7 6
4 Universitario Beni 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
2 Deportivo Tigres 5 2 2 1 9:4 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
4 Universitario de Tarija 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 5 4 0 1 10:8 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
3 Central Union 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 CD Guadalajara 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)