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Fatic vs Chaco Petrolero

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fatic and Chaco Petrolero finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fatic
6%
Draws
90%
Chaco Petrolero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chaco Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaco Petrolero haven't matched Fatic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chaco Petrolero's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fatic Clean Sheet 16%
Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Chaco Petrolero
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Chaco Petrolero
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco Petrolero vs Fatic
0:5
Nov 21, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco Petrolero vs Fatic
0:1
Nov 17, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Chaco Petrolero
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 10 / 100
Chaco Petrolero 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Chaco Petrolero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chaco Petrolero conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Fatic's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Fatic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Chaco Petrolero
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144