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Fatic vs Municipal de Tarija Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fatic and Municipal de Tarija finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal de Tarija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Fatic
15%
Draws
37%
Municipal de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal de Tarija's 2.08 goals per match outpaces what Fatic have produced (1.97).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fatic Clean Sheet 11%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Municipal de Tarija
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Municipal de Tarija
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Fatic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 29 / 100
Municipal de Tarija 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Municipal de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatic found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Municipal de Tarija conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

Fatic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Municipal de Tarija
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
27 Sept
Em Huanuni
2 : 0
Fatic
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
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Municipal de Tarija

(Away)
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0
Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2
Municipal de Tarija
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Nacional Sucre 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
3 Hiska Nacional 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Mizque 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Universitario de Pando 4 2 1 1 5:7 7
3 Stormers SL 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Real Oruro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Pasion Celeste 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
3 Fancesa 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
2 Atletico Bermejo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 San Lorenzo del Beni 4 0 0 4 3:25 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Fatic 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
3 Sur-Car 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 24 de Septiembre 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Universitario Beni 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Real Mapajo 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Deportivo Aleman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
3 Academia del Balompie 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)