Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Coelho V.
34'
34'
Daniel C.
50'
50'
Sambu M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Fatima advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
15%
30%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fatima carry the better recent record into this one.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
- Fatima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fatima, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Fatima Clean Sheet 20%
Coutada Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fatima | Coutada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 3 |
| Wins | 12 | 1 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Fatima vs Coutada
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fatima Compare
Top Goalscorer Coelho V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daniel C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Coutada Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fatima 85 / 100
Coutada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fatima Coutada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Fatima scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Coutada let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.
Solid form: Fatima remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fatima VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fatima
(Home) 20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1 Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1 Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4
Coutada
(Away) 29 Sept
Fatima
4 : 0 Coutada
08 Sept
Coutada
2 : 0 Fayal
09 Sept
Torreense
2 : 0 Coutada
29 Sept
Fatima
4 : 0 Coutada
09 Sept
Torreense
2 : 0 Coutada
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Aljustrelense 3
Vasco de Gama de Sines 2
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Vizela 3
Pedras Rubras 0
TBD -
GD Fontinhas -
Vasco de Gama de Sines -
TBD -
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mortagua FC 4
Anadia 2
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintra 1
GS Loures 0
Trofense 1
Amarante FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
CDC Montalegre 1
Cerveira 0
TBD -
Marinhense -
Coutada 2
Fayal 0
Marinhense 0
Fatima 1
Condeixa 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
AD Portomosense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Sacavenense 0
Alverca 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Louletano 1
Ferreiras 0
Vila Cortez 0
Figueirense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Amora 2
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver -
Sporting Ideal -
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Sanjoanense 3
SC Espinho 2
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Carcao 2
GD Prado 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Electrico FC -
TBD -
Rebordosa 0
Arouca 5
Sao Martinho 3
Porto da Cruz 0
Ponte da Barca 0
Merelinense 1
Lusitania FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano FCV 3
Anca 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Penedo Gordo 2
Praia Milfontes 0
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vila Pouca -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
U. Madeira 1
SC Vila Real 0
Rebordelo 0
AD Fafe 3
CD Rabo Peixe 1
Montijo 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Leiria 5
FC Crato 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Real SC 4
Berco 3
Pevidem 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
SC Mirandela 2
Atletico Arcos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Lusitano GC 0
TBD -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Pero Pinheiro 4
1º Dezembro 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Vitoria Sernache 4
Moncarapachense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Oleiros 1
Sertanense 2
Santarem 3
Uniao Almeirim 2
TBD -
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Maria de Fonte 3
GD Braganca 0
Vila Pouca 1
Pedras Salgadas 3
Agueda 5
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sporting Ideal 0
Oriental 2
Gondomar 3
Leca 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 3
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Anca -
Coimbroes 4
Regua 1
TBD -
GD Prado -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Aguias do Moradal -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Torreense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
GD Alcochetense 5
Velense 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Atletico Arcos -
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro 0
SC Praiense 4
AD Oliveirense 2
FC Vilarinho 0
Camara de Lobos 0
FC Felgueiras 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Caldas SC 5
Vila Velha 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Pinhalnovense 3
GD Fontinhas 1
TBD -
Estoril -
GS Loures -
TBD -
TBD -
Lusitano VRSA -
SB Castelo Branco 7
Electrico FC 0
Armacenenses 0
Olhanense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Montijo -
Anadia -
TBD -
GD Coruchense 0
Sintrense 1
Beira Mar 6
Pampilhosense 0
Manteigas 1
Bustelo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
1/64-finals
Aljustrelense 0
Casa Pia 2
Vizela 6
GD Fontinhas 1
Vasco de Gama de Sines 0
Cova De Piedade 4
TBD -
Benfica -
Leca 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
TBD -
Mortagua FC 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintra 2
Amarante FC 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
CDC Montalegre 0
Marinhense 1
Coutada 0
Fatima 4
Condeixa 1
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
AD Portomosense 0
Alverca 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Louletano 2
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Amora 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Sanjoanense 1
SC Espinho 2
Nacional 0
Carcao 0
Vilafranquense 2
Electrico FC 1
Arouca 6
Sao Martinho 0
Merelinense 1
Lusitania FC 4
Covilha 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano FCV 0
Academica 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Penedo Gordo 0
Fabril do Barreiro 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vila Pouca 0
Mafra 4
U. Madeira 1
AD Fafe 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Academico Viseu 1
Leiria 0
Real SC 1
Berco 1
Feirense 3
TBD -
Tondela -
SC Mirandela 1
Chaves 2
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Pevidem 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Pero Pinheiro 0
Vitoria Sernache 1
Moncarapachense 0
Sertanense 1
Santarem 1
SC Farense 2
TBD -
Aves -
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 5
Agueda 4
Oriental 1
Gondomar 0
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Canelas 2010 4
Anca 0
Coimbroes 3
GD Prado 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Aguias do Moradal 1
Torreense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
GD Alcochetense 0
Leixoes 4
Atletico Arcos 0
SC Praiense 2
AD Oliveirense 2
FC Felgueiras 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Caldas SC 0
Varzim 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Estoril 2
GS Loures 3
Lusitano VRSA 2
SB Castelo Branco 3
Olhanense 2
GD Coruchense 0
Montijo 4
Anadia 2
Sintrense 1
Beira Mar 2
Bustelo 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
1/32-finals
Casa Pia 1
Vizela 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Benfica 4
Leca 1
Braga 3
Penafiel 0
Gil Vicente 2
Sintra 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Marinhense 1
Fatima 0
Condeixa 0
Rio Ave 1
Alverca 2
Sporting CP 0
Louletano 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Amora 0
Sanjoanense 1
SC Espinho 2
Vilafranquense 1
Arouca 1
Merelinense 0
Lusitania FC 1
Famalicao 2
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Moreirense 3
Mafra 1
AD Fafe 0
Academico Viseu 3
Real SC 1
Feirense 3
Tondela 0
Chaves 2
Boavista 1
Pevidem 0
BSAD 2
Vitoria Sernache 0
Sertanense 1
SC Farense 5
Aves 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
Agueda 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Canelas 2010 1
Coimbroes 0
FC Porto 5
Aguias do Moradal 0
Vitoria Setubal 5
Leixoes 4
SC Praiense 2
AD Oliveirense 0
Santa Clara 3
Varzim 1
Estoril 0
GS Loures 4
SB Castelo Branco 2
Montijo 0
Anadia 1
Beira Mar 3
Maritimo 2
1/16-finals
Vizela 1
Benfica 2
Braga 1
Gil Vicente 0
Sintra 0
Marinhense 2
Rio Ave 1
Alverca 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Sanjoanense 0
SC Espinho 3
Arouca 2
Famalicao 1
Academica 0
Moreirense 1
Mafra 3
Academico Viseu 1
Feirense 0
Chaves 1
BSAD 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense 1
Pedras Salgadas 0
Canelas 2010 1
FC Porto 4
Vitoria Setubal 0
Leixoes 1
Santa Clara 4
Varzim 1
GS Loures 0
Anadia 2
Beira Mar 1
1/8-finals
Benfica 2
Braga 1
Marinhense 0
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
SC Espinho 0
Famalicao 3
Mafra 0
Academico Viseu 1
Chaves 0
Sertanense 0
Canelas 2010 1
FC Porto 1
Santa Clara 0
Varzim 2
Anadia 1
Quarter-finals
Benfica 3
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Famalicao 1
Academico Viseu 1
Canelas 2010 0
FC Porto 2
Varzim 1
Semi-finals
Benfica 4
Famalicao 3
Academico Viseu 1
FC Porto 4
Final
Benfica 1
FC Porto 2
