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Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Fatima Logo

Fatima

4 - 0
FT
Pero Pinheiro Logo

Pero Pinheiro

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ferreira F. N.
55' Event
Silva T.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Soares Santos M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Fatima and Pero Pinheiro finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Fatima
15%
Draws
8%
Pero Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatima come out ahead of Pero Pinheiro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fatima a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Pero Pinheiro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs Fatima
0:1
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pero Pinheiro vs Fatima
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira F. N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares Santos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pero Pinheiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 95 / 100
Pero Pinheiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Pero Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pero Pinheiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Fatima found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Fatima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
Page 1 of 7

Pero Pinheiro

(Away)
13 Apr
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
06 Apr
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
O Elvas CAD
09 Mar
Fatima
4 : 0
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)