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Fatima vs Samora Correia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Fatima Logo

Fatima

2 - 2
FT
Samora Correia Logo

Samora Correia

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rodri
39' Event
Silva A.
57' Event
Sanca A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fatima
20%
Draws
48%
Samora Correia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samora Correia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Samora Correia at 1.04 per game, Fatima at 1.
  • Win probability leans Fatima's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Samora Correia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Samora Correia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Samora Correia
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Samora Correia vs Fatima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Samora Correia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Didi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 46 / 100
Samora Correia 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Samora Correia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samora Correia conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Fatima found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Fatima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS Samora Correia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
16 Aug
O Elvas CAD
1 : 1
Fatima
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Fatima
2 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
29 Mar
Fatima
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 6

Samora Correia

(Away)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
21 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Samora Correia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)