Sport Picks
Fatima vs Vitoria Sernache
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Beato B.
38'
38'
Ekanga Ondoa H. O.
45'
45'
dos Santos B.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Fatima and Vitoria Sernache finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Fatima a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fatima | Vitoria Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.71 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Vitoria Sernache
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Vitoria Sernache
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
1:1
Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Vitoria Sernache vs Fatima
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fatima Compare
Top Goalscorer Beato B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reis Tavares Semedo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85
Vitoria Sernache Compare
Top Goalscorer Ekanga Ondoa H. O.
1 Goals Assists Leader dos Santos B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fatima 95 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fatima Vitoria Sernache
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fatima's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Fatima remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Vitoria Sernache registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fatima VS Vitoria Sernache
2.17 Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fatima
(Home) 20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1 Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1 Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0 Malveira
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 3
Vitoria Sernache
(Away) 19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
08 Aug
Mafra
5 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
