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Fatran Varin vs Kysucke Nove Mesto

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fatran Varin play Kysucke Nove Mesto in the Slovak Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fatran Varin averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Kysucke Nove Mesto averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Fatran Varin won 1, Kysucke Nove Mesto won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 25, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Fatran Varin and 0.99 for Kysucke Nove Mesto. This points to a Fatran Varin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fatran Varin
15%
Draws
38%
Kysucke Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatran Varin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Fatran Varin picked up more points recently compared to Kysucke Nove Mesto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Fatran Varin Clean Sheet 23%
Kysucke Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatran Varin Kysucke Nove Mesto
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2015 Slovak Cup
Fatran Varin vs Kysucke Nove Mesto
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatran Varin 47 / 100
Kysucke Nove Mesto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatran Varin Kysucke Nove Mesto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fatran Varin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fatran Varin attacking → ← attacking Kysucke Nove Mesto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatran Varin scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Kysucke Nove Mesto let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Fatran Varin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kysucke Nove Mesto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 23
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00