Sport Picks

Fazendense vs Estrela da Amadora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal Complexo Desportivo Prof. Jose Sousa Gomes - Campo 2, Fazendas de Almeirim

Fazendense

1 - 2

Estrela da Amadora

Our Tip

Match Events

64'

Sub

Alisson Souza In: Souza B.

Out: Alisson Souza

64'

Sub

Stoica I. In: Marcus A.

Out: Stoica I.

65'

Moustier T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Fazendense

15%

Draws

59%

Estrela da Amadora

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Estrela da Amadora have won more games recently than Fazendense.
59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Estrela da Amadora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Estrela da Amadora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Fazendense Clean Sheet 10%

Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fazendense	Estrela da Amadora
Matches Played	15	27
Wins	3	8
Draws	1	9
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.2	1.44
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Fazendense vs Estrela da Amadora

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fazendense Compare

Top Goalscorer Magalhaes I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Moustier T.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.1

Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fazendense 34 / 100

Estrela da Amadora 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fazendense Estrela da Amadora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fazendense scored in 67% of their last 15 games.

Estrela da Amadora has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fazendense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fazendense VS Estrela da Amadora

1.75 Goals Scored 2.38

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fazendense

(Home)

17 Oct

Fazendense

1 : 2

Estrela da Amadora

11 Oct

Malveira

3 : 1

Fazendense

27 Sept

Alverca B

5 : 0

Fazendense

20 Sept

Fazendense

6 : 1

Figueirense

13 Sept

Fazendense

1 : 2

O Elvas CAD

Page 1 of 3

Estrela da Amadora

(Away)

17 Oct

Fazendense

1 : 2

Estrela da Amadora

11 Oct

Arouca

1 : 0

Estrela da Amadora

20 Sept

Estrela da Amadora

0 : 2

Academico Viseu

14 Sept

Rio Ave

3 : 3

Estrela da Amadora

10 Sept

Estrela da Amadora

2 : 1

Braga

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Estoril 2

GD Alcochetense 1

Maritimo 2

Tondela 2

Alverca 0

Paredes 1

Famalicao 0

CF Os Belenenses 3

Arouca 4

Fazendense 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

Mafra 3

Santa Clara 2

Santarem 2

Gil Vicente 3

AFS 1

Moreirense 0

ACDR Lamelas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Sanjoanense 1

Nacional 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 1

Louletano 0

Rio Ave 1

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 0

SC Farense 3

AD Marco 09 0

Academica 3

Amarante FC 2

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 1

Atletico CP 1

Vizela 0

Chaves 2

Os Marialvas 1

SC Vianense 1

Leixoes 0

Penafiel 0

Leca 1

FC Felgueiras 1

AD Fafe 0

Olhanense 2

Oliveira Hospital 1

Lusitania FC 2

AD Limianos 1

Vitoria Setubal 1

Uniao Da Serra 2

Florgrade 1

Portimonense 2

Brito 0

Vitoria Sernache 1

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Fazendense vs Estrela da Amadora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Fazendense

Estrela da Amadora

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Fazendense Compare

Estrela da Amadora Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fazendense

Estrela da Amadora

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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