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Fazendense vs O Elvas CAD

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lucao
(Penalty)
72' Event
89' Event
Magalhaes I.

AI Match Summary

O Elvas CAD in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Elvas CAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fazendense
20%
Draws
47%
O Elvas CAD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to O Elvas CAD lately — more wins on the board than Fazendense.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on O Elvas CAD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fazendense Clean Sheet 19%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fazendense O Elvas CAD
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fazendense vs O Elvas CAD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fazendense Compare

Top Goalscorer Magalhaes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

O Elvas CAD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fazendense 10 / 100
O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fazendense O Elvas CAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fazendense scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Fazendense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

O Elvas CAD let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fazendense VS O Elvas CAD
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fazendense

(Home)
20 Sept
Fazendense
6 : 1
Figueirense
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Fazendense
30 Aug
Fazendense
1 : 0
Mocarriense
23 Aug
Fazendense
3 : 3
Nogueirense
Page 1 of 3

O Elvas CAD

(Away)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
16 Aug
O Elvas CAD
1 : 1
Fatima
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
3 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 O Elvas CAD 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Sertanense 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
12 Fazendense 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
13 Alverca B 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)