Sport Picks
FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atl.
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and Alianza Atl. finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBC Melgar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans FBC Melgar's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Alianza Atl. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FBC Melgar Compare
Alianza Atl. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FBC Melgar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Alianza Atl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
FBC Melgar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FBC Melgar
(Home)Alianza Atl.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
