Sport Picks
FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa 
AI Match Summary
FBC Melgar host Comerciantes Unidos in the Liga 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Comerciantes Unidos have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while FBC Melgar have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor FBC Melgar slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring FBC Melgar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched FBC Melgar's recent run of results.
- FBC Melgar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FBC Melgar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
FBC Melgar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FBC Melgar
(Home)Comerciantes Unidos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 4 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 22 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:25 | 11 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | 2 |
