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FBC Melgar W vs Defensores W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2025 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between FBC Melgar W and Defensores W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FBC Melgar W
17%
Draws
13%
Defensores W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FBC Melgar W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FBC Melgar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 19%
Defensores W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Defensores W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Women
Defensores W vs FBC Melgar W
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Defensores W
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Defensores W
5:1
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Women
Defensores W vs FBC Melgar W
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Defensores W
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 67 / 100
Defensores W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Defensores W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Defensores W conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

FBC Melgar W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

FBC Melgar W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Defensores W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1
FBC Melgar W
12 Jun
FBC Melgar W
0 : 0
A. Lima W
30 May
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 1
FBC Melgar W
25 May
FBC Melgar W
1 : 2
Atl. Andahuaylas W
21 May
Killas W
0 : 2
FBC Melgar W
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Defensores W

(Away)
14 Jun
Defensores W
0 : 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W
24 May
Defensores W
1 : 6
Killas W
21 May
Flamengo FBC W
3 : 0
Defensores W
17 May
Defensores W
5 : 0
Carlos Mannucci W
09 May
Universitario de Deportes W
7 : 0
Defensores W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima W11100136:630
2Universitario de Deportes W1190243:627
3Sporting Cristal W1172228:923
4Carlos Mannucci W1172228:1323
5UNSAAC W1161422:1319
6FBC Melgar W1153314:1618
7Flamengo FBC W1143414:1615
8Biavo W1131710:3210
9Cesar Vallejo W1122711:258
10Killas W111379:296
11Real Ancash W1120915:406
12Defensores W1111911:364
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)